Cody Hollister Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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NFL · Player Props

Cody Hollister

WR · Tennessee Titans

Receiving TD

Tennessee Titans vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 7, 2022

Updated Oct 23, 2022 7:31 PM UTC

Analysis

Cody Hollister Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+402/-860).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects Cody Hollister to be a more important option in his offense's passing offense near the end zone this week (8.6% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (0.0% in games he has played).
The Indianapolis Colts linebackers project as the worst unit in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.
The Tennessee Titans have been faced with a stacked the box on 26.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-most in football. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
The Tennessee Titans have utilized play action on 30.3% of their dropbacks since the start of last season (7th-most in the NFL), making the defense think run and leading to much higher passing efficiency.
The Tennessee Titans have gone no-huddle on 11.3% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (10th-most in the NFL). This quickens the pace, leading to more volume and stat-padding.

Favors Under

The Tennessee Titans have run the 2nd-least plays in football this year, totaling just 52.2 plays per game.
Opposing QBs have averaged 32.8 pass attempts per game against the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: 7th-least in the NFL.
Cody Hollister has put up a puny 4.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 13th percentile among wide receivers.
Cody Hollister's 3.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) puts him in the company of the worst in football: 8th percentile for wide receivers.
The Tennessee Titans offensive line profiles as the 3rd-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful effect on all passing game stats across the board.