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Clyde Edwards-Helaire

Clyde Edwards-Helaire Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Kansas City Chiefs vs Las Vegas Raiders

 
 
 
Clyde Edwards-Helaire Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Chiefs are a massive 10.5-point favorite this week, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 15-mph being called for in this game) generally correlate with worse passing efficiency, reduced air volume, and increased rush volume.
  • The Kansas City Chiefs offensive line profiles as the best in the NFL last year in run-blocking.
  • The opposing side have run for the 5th-most adjusted yards in the league (126 per game) vs. the Raiders defense this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Chiefs to be the 2nd-least run-centric team among all teams this week with a 39.4% run rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • After accounting for 31.6% of his team's carries last season, Clyde Edwards-Helaire has been called on less the rushing attack this season, now making up only 18.5%.
  • Clyde Edwards-Helaire's 17.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year reflects a material reduction in his rushing ability over last year's 30.0 figure.
  • Clyde Edwards-Helaire's running efficiency has declined this season, averaging a mere 3.40 adjusted yards-per-carry vs a 4.28 rate last season.
  • When it comes to the defensive ends' role in stopping the run, Las Vegas's unit has been excellent this year, projecting as the best in the league.

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