Clyde Edwards-Helaire Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Clyde Edwards-Helaire

NFL · Player Props

Clyde Edwards-Helaire

RB · Kansas City Chiefs

Rushing Yards

New England Patriots vs Kansas City Chiefs · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 18, 2023 12:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Clyde Edwards-Helaire Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 49.5 (-121/-107).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 49.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 49.5 @ -121.

Key Factors

Favors Over

With a 3.5-point advantage, the Chiefs are favored in this week's game, implying more of an emphasis on rushing than their usual game plan.
In this game, Clyde Edwards-Helaire is forecasted by our trusted projection set to secure a spot in the 82nd percentile when it comes to RBs with 14.1 rush attempts.
While Clyde Edwards-Helaire has been responsible for 14.8% of his team's rush attempts in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be a more important option in Kansas City's run game in this contest at 57.6%.
The Kansas City offensive line ranks as the best in the league last year at executing run-blocking assingments.

Favors Under

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Kansas City Chiefs to run on 38.0% of their downs: the 4th-lowest clip among all teams this week.
Clyde Edwards-Helaire has run for significantly fewer adjusted yards per game (14.0) this season than he did last season (30.0).
Clyde Edwards-Helaire's rushing efficiency has diminished this season, accumulating a measly 3.40 adjusted yards-per-carry vs a 4.28 mark last season.
This year, the anemic New England Patriots run defense has been gouged for a staggering 3.51 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to the opposition's run game: the 31st-biggest rate in the league.
The Patriots safeties grade out as the best safety corps in the league this year in regard to stopping the run.

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