Clyde Edwards-Helaire Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Clyde Edwards-Helaire

NFL · Player Props

Clyde Edwards-Helaire

RB · Kansas City Chiefs

Rushing Yards

Kansas City Chiefs vs Buffalo Bills · Week 14, 2023

Updated Dec 11, 2023 12:21 AM UTC

Analysis

Clyde Edwards-Helaire Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 45.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 50.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 45.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Chiefs are expected by the projection model to run 65.5 total plays in this game: the 9th-most among all teams this week.
While Clyde Edwards-Helaire has earned 11.4% of his offense's rushing play calls in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be a more integral piece of Kansas City's ground game in this week's game at 50.4%.
The Kansas City Chiefs O-line ranks as the best in the league last year at blocking for the run game.
The Buffalo Bills defense has produced the 4th-worst efficiency against opposing running games this year, allowing 4.79 adjusted yards-per-carry.

Favors Under

Our trusted projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs as the 2nd-least run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 35.4% run rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
Clyde Edwards-Helaire's 13.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year marks a substantial regression in his rushing skills over last year's 30.0 figure.
Clyde Edwards-Helaire's ground efficiency has tailed off this year, compiling just 3.50 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to a 4.28 figure last year.
The Bills linebackers rank as the 4th-best unit in the league this year when it comes to stopping the run.

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