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Clyde Edwards-Helaire

Clyde Edwards-Helaire Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Kansas City Chiefs vs Las Vegas Raiders

 
 
 
Clyde Edwards-Helaire Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 46.5 (+100/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 46.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 46.5 @ -145.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Chiefs are a massive 7-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
  • The Kansas City Chiefs O-line grades out as the 6th-best in football this year at blocking for rushers.
  • Clyde Edwards-Helaire has rushed for a lot more yards per game (54.0) this season than he did last season (41.0).
  • Clyde Edwards-Helaire's running effectiveness has been refined this season, averaging 5.23 yards-per-carry vs a measly 4.12 figure last season.
  • Clyde Edwards-Helaire has improved when it comes to grinding out extra rushing yardage this season, accumulating 3.79 yards-after-contact vs a 2.39 mark last season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Kansas City Chiefs as the 7th-least run-oriented team on the slate this week with a 36.6% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the least plays run among all games this week at 128.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Clyde Edwards-Helaire has been a much smaller part of his offense's rushing attack this year (48.1% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (59.5%).
  • The Las Vegas Raiders defensive ends profile as the 8th-best DE corps in football this year with their run defense.
  • The Las Vegas Raiders have stacked the box versus opponents on 21.7% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-most in the NFL. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

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