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Clyde Edwards-Helaire

Clyde Edwards-Helaire Rushing TD
Player Prop Week 4

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Kansas City Chiefs

Clyde Edwards-Helaire Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+287/-497).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -482 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -497.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Chiefs to call the 5th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 67.6 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The Kansas City Chiefs have run the 8th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a monstrous 60.2 plays per game.

The Kansas City Chiefs offensive line ranks as the 7th-best in the league since the start of last season at opening holes for rushers.

Clyde Edwards-Helaire has rushed for 0.33 touchdowns per game on the ground since the start of last season (on average), one of the highest figures in the league among running backs (80th percentile).

The Kansas City Chiefs have been faced with a stacked the box on just 9.3% of their plays since the start of last season, least in the league. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 2nd-least run-centric team in the NFL near the end zone (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 36.7% red zone run rate.

Opposing offenses have rushed for the 3rd-least TDs in the NFL (0.55 per game) against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense since the start of last season.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers safeties profile as the 2nd-best group of safeties in the NFL since the start of last season when it comes to stopping the run.

The Kansas City Chiefs have gone no-huddle on just 1.8% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (least in the league). This slows the pace, resulting in less volume and stat accumulation.

The Kansas City Chiefs have gone for it on 4th down a mere 15.8% of the time since the start of last season (9th-least in football), which typically means less offensive volume, less TD potential, and lower offensive statistics across the board.

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