Clyde Edwards-Helaire Rushing TD - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Clyde Edwards-Helaire

NFL · Player Props

Clyde Edwards-Helaire

RB · Kansas City Chiefs

Rushing TD

Kansas City Chiefs vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 2, 2022

Updated Sep 15, 2022 11:50 PM UTC

Analysis

Clyde Edwards-Helaire Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+190/-250).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Chiefs are a 4-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Chiefs to call the 8th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 64.4 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Kansas City Chiefs have run the 3rd-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a whopping 65.6 plays per game.
Clyde Edwards-Helaire has been given 41.2% of his offense's red zone carries since the start of last season, placing him in the 78th percentile among RBs.
The Kansas City Chiefs offensive line profiles as the 5th-best in the league since the start of last season at blocking for rushers.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the least run-centric team in football near the end zone (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 36.3% red zone run rate.
The Kansas City Chiefs have gone no-huddle on a lowly 1.8% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (least in the NFL). This deadens the pace, resulting in less volume and stat-padding.
The Kansas City Chiefs have gone for it on 4th down a lowly 15.8% of the time since the start of last season (9th-least in the NFL), which usually means less offensive volume, less TD potential, and lower offensive metrics across the board.

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