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Clyde Edwards-Helaire

Clyde Edwards-Helaire Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

Kansas City Chiefs vs Las Vegas Raiders

 
 
 
Clyde Edwards-Helaire Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+145/-190).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +155 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +145.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Chiefs to pass on 60.6% of their plays: the 8th-highest rate among all teams this week.
  • Clyde Edwards-Helaire's 19.9% snap rate this year conveys a noteable decrease in his offensive utilization over last year's 32.1% mark.
  • As it relates to pass protection (and the positive effect it has on all passing game stats), the offensive line of the Kansas City Chiefs ranks as the 10th-best in the NFL this year.
  • As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, Las Vegas's unit has been easily exploitable this year, projecting as the 6th-worst in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Chiefs are a massive 10.5-point favorite this week, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 15-mph being called for in this game) generally correlate with worse passing efficiency, reduced air volume, and increased rush volume.
  • With a weak 74.7% Adjusted Completion% (23rd percentile) this year, Clyde Edwards-Helaire rates as one of the most hard-handed receivers in the NFL among RBs.

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