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Clyde Edwards-Helaire
NFL · Player Props
Clyde Edwards-Helaire
RB · Kansas City Chiefs
Receptions
Kansas City Chiefs vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 5, 2022 Updated Oct 10, 2022 11:55 PM UTC
NFL Props Clyde Edwards-Helaire Receptions

Clyde Edwards-Helaire Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-162/+126).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +124 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +126.

Favors Over
  • THE BLITZ projects Clyde Edwards-Helaire to accumulate 3.6 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 83rd percentile among RBs.
  • Clyde Edwards-Helaire's 15.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly better this season than it was last season at 8.4.
  • The Kansas City Chiefs offensive line profiles as the 8th-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong effect on all passing offense statistics across the board.
  • Clyde Edwards-Helaire's receiving skills have been refined this year, notching 3.2 yards per game compared to a mere 1.6 last year.
  • Clyde Edwards-Helaire's receiving reliability have improved this year, with his Completion% increasing from 86.4% to 92.9%.
Favors Under
  • The Chiefs are a massive 7-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 63.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the least plays run among all games this week at 128.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Kansas City Chiefs have gone up against a stacked the box on a measly 9.3% of their plays since the start of last season, least in football. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
  • The Kansas City Chiefs have gone no-huddle on a measly 1.8% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (least in the NFL). This slows the pace, leading to less volume and stat-padding.
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