Clyde Edwards-Helaire Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Clyde Edwards-Helaire

NFL · Player Props

Clyde Edwards-Helaire

RB · Kansas City Chiefs

Receiving Yards

Kansas City Chiefs vs Buffalo Bills · Week 14, 2023

Updated Dec 11, 2023 4:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Clyde Edwards-Helaire Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Kansas City Chiefs to pass on 64.6% of their opportunities: the 2nd-greatest rate among all teams this week.
Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Chiefs are expected by the projection model to run 65.5 total plays in this game: the 9th-most among all teams this week.
This year, the feeble Bills defense has been gouged for a monstrous 43.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing running backs: the 5th-most in the NFL.
This year, the feeble Buffalo Bills defense has surrendered the 2nd-most adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing running backs: a massive 6.94 yards.

Favors Under

Opposing QBs have averaged 34.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Bills defense this year: 9th-fewest in the NFL.
Clyde Edwards-Helaire has accrued a meager -2.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 16th percentile when it comes to running backs.
Clyde Edwards-Helaire's 2.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive volume) has been notably worse this season than it was last season at 9.7.
Clyde Edwards-Helaire has accrued a lot fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (4.0) this season than he did last season (17.0).
Clyde Edwards-Helaire's 4.7 adjusted yards per target this year marks a substantial regression in his receiving talent over last year's 7.9 figure.

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