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Clyde Edwards-Helaire

Clyde Edwards-Helaire Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7

San Francisco 49ers vs Kansas City Chiefs

 
 
 
Clyde Edwards-Helaire Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-116/-111).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -116 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -111.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Kansas City Chiefs as the 2nd-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 64.7% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 129.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Clyde Edwards-Helaire has been a key part of his team's passing attack, posting a Target Share of 8.6% this year, which puts him in the 76th percentile among running backs.
  • Clyde Edwards-Helaire has posted a whopping 2.0 air yards per game this year: 75th percentile among RBs. (That may not sound like a lot, but most RBs have negative air yards because they are targeted behind the line of scrimmage).
  • The Kansas City Chiefs offensive line grades out as the 10th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The weatherman calls for 15-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 32.3 pass attempts per game vs. the San Francisco 49ers defense this year: 6th-least in football.
  • The San Francisco 49ers defense has conceded the 3rd-least receiving yards per game in football (just 22.0) versus running backs this year.
  • The San Francisco 49ers pass defense has surrendered the 3rd-lowest Completion% in the league (67.4%) to running backs this year (67.4%).
  • The San Francisco 49ers pass defense has displayed good efficiency vs. running backs this year, conceding 3.39 yards-per-target to the position: the 2nd-least in the NFL.

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