Clyde Edwards-Helaire Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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NFL · Player Props

Clyde Edwards-Helaire

RB · Kansas City Chiefs

Receiving Yards

Kansas City Chiefs vs Buffalo Bills · Week 6, 2022

Updated Oct 16, 2022 11:51 PM EST

Analysis

Clyde Edwards-Helaire Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Kansas City Chiefs as the most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 65.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-most plays run on the slate this week at 136.5 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Clyde Edwards-Helaire to notch 3.6 targets this week, on average, ranking in the 82nd percentile among RBs.
Clyde Edwards-Helaire's 15.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly higher this year than it was last year at 8.4.
The Kansas City Chiefs offensive line profiles as the 10th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong effect on all passing offense stats across the board.

Favors Under

The weather report calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
Opposing QBs have averaged 33.6 pass attempts per game against the Buffalo Bills defense this year: 8th-least in the league.
The Buffalo Bills pass defense has shown good efficiency against RBs this year, allowing 4.74 yards-per-target to the position: the 6th-least in the league.
The Buffalo Bills pass defense has excelled when opposing running backs have gotten into space, conceding an average of 5.12 yards-after-the-catch this year: the least in the league.
The Buffalo Bills linebackers grade out as the best group of LBs in the league this year in covering receivers.