Clyde Edwards-Helaire Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Clyde Edwards-Helaire

NFL · Player Props

Clyde Edwards-Helaire

RB · Kansas City Chiefs

Carries

Kansas City Chiefs vs Buffalo Bills · Week 6, 2022

Updated Oct 17, 2022 3:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Clyde Edwards-Helaire Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-most plays run on the slate this week at 136.5 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The weather report calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
The Kansas City Chiefs have faced a stacked the box on just 9.3% of their plays since the start of last season, least in the NFL. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Kansas City Chiefs as the least run-centric team among all teams this week with a 34.2% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Clyde Edwards-Helaire to be a much smaller piece of his team's running game this week (36.4% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (47.4% in games he has played).
The Buffalo Bills defensive ends profile as the 5th-best DE corps in the league this year in regard to defending the run.
The Buffalo Bills have stacked the box vs. opponents on 19.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 9th-most in football. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
The Kansas City Chiefs have gone no-huddle on a mere 1.8% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (least in the NFL). This slows the pace, resulting in less volume and stat-padding.

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