Clayton Tune Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Clayton Tune

NFL · Player Props

Clayton Tune

QB · Arizona Cardinals

Rushing Yards

Cleveland Browns vs Arizona Cardinals · Week 9, 2023

Updated Nov 5, 2023 8:21 PM UTC

Analysis

Clayton Tune Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cardinals feature a new play-caller this season in head coach Jonathan Gannon, and the model projects their pass/run mix to skew 6.0% more towards rushing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
The predictive model expects the Cardinals to be the 3rd-most run-focused team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 44.7% run rate.

Favors Under

The Cardinals may pass less in this game (and hand the ball off more) since they be starting backup QB Clayton Tune.
The Cardinals are a big 13.5-point underdog in this game, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Cardinals are forecasted by the model to call only 63.2 plays on offense in this game: the 6th-fewest among all teams this week.
The Arizona Cardinals offensive line ranks as the 6th-worst in football last year at opening holes for rushers.
This year, the formidable Browns run defense has given up a measly 91.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing squads: the 6th-fewest in football.

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