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C.J. Uzomah

C.J. Uzomah Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

New England Patriots vs New York Jets

 
 
 
C.J. Uzomah Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Jets are a heavy 10.5-point underdog this week, likely creating an extreme passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 132.8 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 38.1 pass attempts per game versus the New England Patriots defense this year: 6th-most in football.
  • C.J. Uzomah's ball-catching skills have gotten better this season, with his Completion% increasing from 78.3% to 91.0%.
  • The New York Jets offensive line has allowed their quarterback 2.69 seconds before the pass (5th-best in the league since the start of last season), which has a strong impact on all air attack statistics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The forecast calls for 18-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
  • C.J. Uzomah has been used less as a potential pass-catcher this year (34.5% Route% in games he has played) than he did last year (76.0%).
  • The New York Jets offensive line ranks as the 4th-worst in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful impact on all passing attack stats across the board.
  • The New England Patriots pass defense has yielded the 4th-lowest Completion% in football (62.6%) versus tight ends this year (62.6%).
  • The New England Patriots safeties grade out as the 6th-best collection of safeties in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

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