C.J. Uzomah Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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C.J. Uzomah

NFL · Player Props

C.J. Uzomah

TE · New York Jets

Receptions

New England Patriots vs New York Jets · Week 11, 2022

Updated Nov 21, 2022 4:01 AM UTC

Analysis

C.J. Uzomah Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Jets are a heavy 10.5-point underdog this week, likely creating an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 132.8 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing QBs have averaged 38.1 pass attempts per game versus the New England Patriots defense this year: 6th-most in football.
C.J. Uzomah's ball-catching skills have gotten better this season, with his Completion% increasing from 78.3% to 91.0%.
The New York Jets offensive line has allowed their quarterback 2.69 seconds before the pass (5th-best in the league since the start of last season), which has a strong impact on all air attack statistics across the board.

Favors Under

The forecast calls for 18-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
C.J. Uzomah has been used less as a potential pass-catcher this year (34.5% Route% in games he has played) than he did last year (76.0%).
The New York Jets offensive line ranks as the 4th-worst in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful impact on all passing attack stats across the board.
The New England Patriots pass defense has yielded the 4th-lowest Completion% in football (62.6%) versus tight ends this year (62.6%).
The New England Patriots safeties grade out as the 6th-best collection of safeties in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

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