C.J. Uzomah Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-114/-122).
Key Factors
Favors Over
The Jets may throw the ball less in this game (and call more carries) because they be forced to utilize backup QB Zach Wilson.
The Giants pass defense has been particularly weak when opposing tight ends have gotten into space, conceding an average of 7.74 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 2nd-most in football.
The New York Giants safeties profile as the 6th-worst group of safeties in the NFL this year in defending pass-catchers.
Favors Under
The Jets are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the New York Jets to pass on 56.1% of their plays: the 10th-lowest rate on the slate this week.
Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the New York Jets are forecasted by our trusted projection set to run only 63.6 plays on offense in this contest: the 11th-lowest number among all teams this week.
The 3rd-smallest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Jets this year (a mere 52.0 per game on average).
Opposing quarterbacks teams have been wary to lean on the pass against the New York Giants, averaging the 5th-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 32.9 per game) this year.