C.J. Uzomah Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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C.J. Uzomah

NFL · Player Props

C.J. Uzomah

TE · New York Jets

Receiving Yards

New York Jets vs New England Patriots · Week 8, 2022

Updated Oct 30, 2022 4:16 PM UTC

Analysis

C.J. Uzomah Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-112/-117).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -117.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Jets are a 3-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script.
The New York Jets offense has played at the 3rd-quickest pace in the NFL (context-neutralized) this year, averaging 26.56 seconds per play.
The weatherman calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
C.J. Uzomah's receiving reliability have been refined this year, with his Completion% increasing from 78.3% to 84.6%.
The New York Jets O-line has afforded their quarterback 2.69 seconds before the pass (5th-best in the league since the start of last season), which has a positive effect on all passing attack stats across the board.

Favors Under

C.J. Uzomah has posted far fewer air yards this year (2.0 per game) than he did last year (18.0 per game).
C.J. Uzomah's 6.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been notably worse this season than it was last season at 23.6.
The New York Jets offensive line profiles as the 6th-worst in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all pass game statistics across the board.
C.J. Uzomah has accrued substantially fewer receiving yards per game (9.0) this year than he did last year (23.0).
C.J. Uzomah's pass-catching efficiency has worsened this season, averaging a mere 5.28 yards-per-target vs a 7.37 mark last season.

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