C.J. Uzomah Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 16

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C.J. Uzomah

NFL · Player Props

C.J. Uzomah

TE · New York Jets

Receiving Yards

New York Jets vs Jacksonville Jaguars · Week 16, 2022

Updated Dec 23, 2022 1:21 AM UTC

Analysis

C.J. Uzomah Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+115/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Jets to call the 10th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 66.4 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing QBs have averaged 36.6 pass attempts per game versus the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 10th-most in the NFL.
C.J. Uzomah's ball-catching skills have improved this year, with his Completion% increasing from 79.4% to 90.3%.
C.J. Uzomah's pass-catching efficiency has improved this year, averaging 9.00 yards-per-target compared to a mere 7.51 mark last year.
C.J. Uzomah's ability to grind out extra yardage has gotten a boost this year, accumulating 6.76 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a mere 4.14 rate last year.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the New York Jets to be the 9th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 52.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The weatherman calls for 15-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
C.J. Uzomah has been used less as a potential pass-catcher this season (35.0% Route% in games he has played) than he did last season (77.0%).
C.J. Uzomah has posted far fewer air yards this year (8.0 per game) than he did last year (19.0 per game).
The New York Jets O-line ranks as the 7th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all passing attack stats across the board.

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