C.J. Uzomah Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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C.J. Uzomah

NFL · Player Props

C.J. Uzomah

TE · New York Jets

Receiving Yards

Buffalo Bills vs New York Jets · Week 14, 2022

Updated Dec 11, 2022 5:41 PM UTC

Analysis

C.J. Uzomah Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Jets are a 3-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the New York Jets offense to be the 6th-quickest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment, averaging 26.49 seconds per snap.
C.J. Uzomah's sure-handedness have improved this year, with his Completion% increasing from 79.4% to 93.5%.
C.J. Uzomah's skills in generating extra yardage have been refined this year, accumulating 7.36 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs just 4.14 mark last year.
The New York Jets O-line has afforded their quarterback 2.69 seconds before the pass (5th-best in the league since the start of last season), which has a positive effect on all pass game metrics across the board.

Favors Under

The weather forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
C.J. Uzomah has been less involved as a potential pass-catcher this year (37.3% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (77.0%).
C.J. Uzomah has accrued significantly fewer air yards this season (5.0 per game) than he did last season (19.0 per game).
C.J. Uzomah has accumulated significantly fewer receiving yards per game (16.0) this season than he did last season (30.0).
The Buffalo Bills defense has given up the 5th-least receiving yards per game in football (just 38.0) vs. TEs this year.

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