C.J. Uzomah Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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C.J. Uzomah

NFL · Player Props

C.J. Uzomah

TE · New York Jets

Receiving Yards

New York Jets vs Chicago Bears · Week 12, 2022

Updated Nov 28, 2022 4:01 AM UTC

Analysis

C.J. Uzomah Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The New York Jets will be forced to utilize backup quarterback Mike White in this game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
C.J. Uzomah's ball-catching skills have gotten better this season, with his Completion% jumping from 78.3% to 91.0%.
C.J. Uzomah's talent in generating extra yardage have been refined this year, compiling 7.90 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a measly 5.41 rate last year.
The New York Jets offensive line has allowed their QB 2.69 seconds before the pass (5th-best in football since the start of last season), which has a strong effect on all passing offense stats across the board.
The Chicago Bears pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks 2.51 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 9th-slowest in football since the start of last season.

Favors Under

The Jets are a 6.5-point favorite in this game, likely creating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the New York Jets to be the 5th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 51.0% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-least plays run out of all the games this week at 126.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing QBs have averaged 26.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Chicago Bears defense this year: least in the NFL.
C.J. Uzomah has been less involved as a potential target this season (36.1% Route% in games he has played) than he did last season (76.0%).

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