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C.J. Stroud

C.J. Stroud TD Passes
Player Prop Week 7

Green Bay Packers vs Houston Texans

C.J. Stroud TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Texans are underdogs in this week's contest, implying more of a reliance on passing than their standard game plan.

The model projects the Houston Texans to be the 8th-most pass-heavy offense in football (adjusted for context) right now with a 63.0% pass rate.

The predictive model expects this game to see the most plays run out of all the games this week at 136.1 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.

The 3rd-highest number of plays in football have been called by the Texans this year (a massive 61.8 per game on average).

In this week's game, C.J. Stroud is predicted by the predictive model to wind up with the 2nd-most pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 39.0.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Windy weather conditions (like the 12-mph being called for in this game) usually cause decreased passing efficiency, lower pass volume, and higher rush volume.

The Houston O-line ranks as the 7th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all air attack metrics across the board.

As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, Green Bay's collection of safeties has been fantastic this year, grading out as the 4th-best in the league.

More C.J. Stroud Player Props

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