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C.J. Stroud

C.J. Stroud TD Passes
Player Prop Week 6

New England Patriots vs Houston Texans

C.J. Stroud TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+112/-146).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -128 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -146.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Our trusted projections expect the Houston Texans to be the 8th-most pass-heavy offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 62.8% pass rate.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is predicted by our trusted projection set to see 127.8 total plays called: the 5th-most among all games this week.

The most plays in the NFL have been called by the Texans this year (a monstrous 63.2 per game on average).

In racking up a massive 36.8 pass attempts per game this year, C.J. Stroud ranks among the top QBs in football (81st percentile) in this statistic.

C.J. Stroud's passing accuracy has gotten a boost this year, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 62.5% to 65.5%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Texans are a 4.5-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a running game script.

When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the influence it has on all passing game stats), the O-line of the Houston Texans profiles as the 10th-worst in the NFL this year.

This year, the stout Patriots defense has surrendered a meager 0.80 passing TDs per game to opposing quarterbacks: the 7th-smallest rate in the NFL.

More C.J. Stroud Player Props

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