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C.J. Stroud

C.J. Stroud TD Passes
Player Prop Week 4

Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars

C.J. Stroud TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-175/+130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -155 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -175.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the Texans as the 9th-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 59.5% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

The Texans rank as the 10th-most pass-focused team in the NFL near the end zone (in a neutral context) this year with a 61.4% red zone pass rate.

The predictive model expects the Texans to run the 6th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 66.0 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.

The Houston Texans have called the 6th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a monstrous 60.0 plays per game.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's spread indicates a rushing game script for the Texans, who are favored by 3.5 points.

The Jacksonville Jaguars linebackers project as the 2nd-best unit in the league since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

More C.J. Stroud Player Props

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