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C.J. Stroud

C.J. Stroud TD Passes
Player Prop Week 2

Houston Texans vs Indianapolis Colts

C.J. Stroud TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+185/-225).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +185 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +185.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 134.7 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 3rd-highest clip in football vs. the Indianapolis Colts defense since the start of last season (74.3%).

The Indianapolis Colts defense has conceded the 9th-most TDs through the air in the NFL: 1.50 per game since the start of last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Houston Texans boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Bobby Slowik, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 4.1% more towards rushing than it did last season (adjusted for context).

THE BLITZ projects the Houston Texans as the 5th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 53.6% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects C.J. Stroud to attempt 33.1 passes in this contest, on average: the 9th-least of all quarterbacks.

Opposing offenses have averaged 30.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Indianapolis Colts defense since the start of last season: 6th-least in the NFL.

The Houston Texans O-line ranks as the 3rd-worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all pass game statistics across the board.

More C.J. Stroud Player Props

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