My Account Log Out
 
 
C.J. Stroud

C.J. Stroud Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars

 
 
 
C.J. Stroud Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This week's spread indicates a rushing game script for the Texans, who are favored by 3.5 points.
  • The predictive model expects the Texans to run the 6th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 66.0 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • The Houston Texans have called the 6th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a monstrous 60.0 plays per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Houston Texans to be the 9th-least run-oriented team on the slate this week with a 40.5% run rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • C.J. Stroud's running effectiveness (4.45 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the worst in football since the start of last season (12th percentile when it comes to quarterbacks).
  • As it relates to the defensive ends' role in defending against the run, Jacksonville's group of DEs has been phenomenal since the start of last season, profiling as the 2nd-best in football.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2022 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™