C.J. Stroud Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 17

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C.J. Stroud

NFL · Player Props

C.J. Stroud

QB · Houston Texans

Rushing Yards

Houston Texans vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 17, 2024

Updated Dec 25, 2024 9:16 PM EST

Analysis

C.J. Stroud Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-122/-106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

C.J. Stroud's 15.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year signifies a meaningful improvement in his running ability over last year's 10.0 rate.
C.J. Stroud's 5.59 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) this year shows a significant growth in his running talent over last year's 4.43 rate.

Favors Under

The Texans are a 5.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script.
Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Houston Texans to run on 35.7% of their plays: the 3rd-lowest rate among all teams this week.
Our trusted projections expect the Texans to run the 6th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.5 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.
The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop-off.
Our trusted projections expect C.J. Stroud to total 2.7 rush attempts in this week's game, on average: the 7th-fewest out of all QBs.

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