This week's spread indicates a throwing game script for the Texans, who are -3.5-point underdogs.Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Texans to run on 39.9% of their downs: the 11th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.The predictive model expects C.J. Stroud to total 2.9 rush attempts in this contest, on average: the 9th-fewest among all QBs.Opposing teams have run for the 3rd-fewest adjusted yards in the league (just 91.0 per game) vs. the Chiefs defense this year.
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