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C.J. Stroud

C.J. Stroud Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Kansas City Chiefs vs Houston Texans

 
 
 
C.J. Stroud Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect this game to have the 4th-most plays run on the slate this week at 132.6 plays, given the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
  • C.J. Stroud has rushed for many more yards per game (15.0) this season than he did last season (10.0).
  • C.J. Stroud's running efficiency has improved this year, compiling 5.59 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to just 4.43 mark last year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's spread indicates a throwing game script for the Texans, who are -3.5-point underdogs.
  • Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Texans to run on 39.9% of their downs: the 11th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
  • The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • The predictive model expects C.J. Stroud to total 2.9 rush attempts in this contest, on average: the 9th-fewest among all QBs.
  • Opposing teams have run for the 3rd-fewest adjusted yards in the league (just 91.0 per game) vs. the Chiefs defense this year.

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