C.J. Stroud Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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C.J. Stroud

NFL · Player Props

C.J. Stroud

QB · Houston Texans

Rushing Yards

Carolina Panthers vs Houston Texans · Week 8, 2023

Updated Oct 29, 2023 10:51 PM UTC

Analysis

C.J. Stroud Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The projections expect the Houston Texans offensive gameplan to lean 2.1% more towards running than it did last year (context-neutralized) with offensive coordinator Bobby Slowik now calling the plays.
With a 3.5-point advantage, the Texans are favored in this week's contest, indicating more of a reliance on running than their standard game plan.
The predictive model expects the Texans to be the 5th-most run-focused team among all teams this week with a 47.0% run rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Texans are forecasted by our trusted projection set to call 65.9 plays on offense in this contest: the 8th-most on the slate this week.
The 6th-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Houston Texans this year (a staggering 61.7 per game on average).

Favors Under

The Houston offensive line ranks as the 2nd-worst in the NFL last year at blocking for rushers.
With a dreadful total of 3.2 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) (17th percentile), C.J. Stroud has been among the weakest running quarterbacks in the league this year.
With a very bad record of 0.59 yards-after-contact (12th percentile), C.J. Stroud rates as one of the weakest rushing quarterbacks in the NFL this year.

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