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C.J. Stroud

C.J. Stroud Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Houston Texans vs New Orleans Saints

C.J. Stroud Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Texans have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Bobby Slowik, and the predictive model expects their pass/run mix to skew 2.1% more towards rushing than it did last season (context-neutralized).

At the present time, the 6th-most run-oriented team in the NFL (42.1% context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Texans.

The projections expect this game to see the highest number of plays run among all games this week at 137.2 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The 6th-most plays in the NFL have been run by the Texans this year (a whopping 62.8 per game on average).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may decline.

The Houston Texans O-line profiles as the 2nd-worst in football last year at run-game blocking.

C.J. Stroud has been among the worst quarterbacks in football at grinding out extra ground yardage, averaging a measly 0.71 yards-after-contact this year while checking in at the 24th percentile.

This year, the tough Saints run defense has conceded a puny 87.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing squads: the 7th-best in football.

As it relates to the linebackers' role in defending against the run, New Orleans's LB corps has been one of the most skilled this year, profiling as the best in the NFL.

More C.J. Stroud Player Props

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