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C.J. Stroud

C.J. Stroud Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Atlanta Falcons vs Houston Texans

C.J. Stroud Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-120/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Houston Texans boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Bobby Slowik, and our trusted projections expect their pass/run mix to lean 2.2% more towards rushing than it did last year (adjusted for context).

The model projects the Texans to be the 7th-most run-centric team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 42.3% run rate.

The leading projections forecast the Houston Texans offense as the 7th-quickest paced team in football (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 26.91 seconds per play.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.

The Texans offensive line ranks as the 2nd-worst in the NFL last year at blocking for the run game.

C.J. Stroud has been among the worst quarterbacks in the league at grinding out extra ground yardage, averaging a mere 0.69 yards-after-contact this year while checking in at the 19th percentile.

As it relates to the defensive ends' role in defending against the run, Atlanta's collection of DEs has been very good this year, profiling as the 3rd-best in the league.

More C.J. Stroud Player Props

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