C.J. Stroud Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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C.J. Stroud

NFL · Player Props

C.J. Stroud

QB · Houston Texans

Rushing Yards

Houston Texans vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 4, 2023

Updated Oct 1, 2023 7:36 PM EST

Analysis

C.J. Stroud Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-115/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ +105 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Houston Texans will have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Bobby Slowik, and the projections expect their pass/run mix to tilt 1.8% more towards rushing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
Our trusted projections expect the Houston Texans to be the 8th-most run-oriented team in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 41.8% run rate.
The predictive model expects this game to see the 4th-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 133.4 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Pittsburgh Steelers defensive tackles rank as the 5th-worst unit in the NFL since the start of last season when it comes to defending the run.

Favors Under

The Texans are a 3-point underdog in this game, likely creating a passing game script.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
The Texans O-line profiles as the 2nd-worst in the NFL since the start of last season in run blocking.

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