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C.J. Stroud

C.J. Stroud Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Houston Texans vs Indianapolis Colts

 
 
 
C.J. Stroud Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-112/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Houston Texans boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Bobby Slowik, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 4.1% more towards rushing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
  • THE BLITZ projects the Houston Texans as the 5th-most run-heavy team among all teams this week with a 46.4% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 134.7 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects C.J. Stroud to garner 5.1 rush attempts in this game, on average: the 8th-most of all quarterbacks.
  • THE BLITZ projects C.J. Stroud to be much more involved in his team's running game this week (16.4% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (9.5% in games he has played).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • The Houston Texans offensive line profiles as the 2nd-worst in the NFL since the start of last season at blocking for the run game.
  • The Indianapolis Colts defensive tackles profile as the best group of DTs in the league since the start of last season in regard to defending the run.

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