C.J. Stroud Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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C.J. Stroud

NFL · Player Props

C.J. Stroud

QB · Houston Texans

Rushing Yards

New York Jets vs Houston Texans · Week 14, 2023

Updated Dec 10, 2023 8:21 PM UTC

Analysis

C.J. Stroud Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

With a 3-point advantage, the Texans are favored in this game, suggesting more of a reliance on rushing than their typical game plan.
Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Houston Texans to run on 48.3% of their chances: the 4th-greatest rate among all teams this week.
The leading projections forecast the Houston Texans to run the 9th-most total plays on the slate this week with 65.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing offenses have run for the 7th-most adjusted yards in the NFL (132 per game) versus the New York Jets defense this year.

Favors Under

When talking about executing run-blocking assignments (and the effect it has on all ground game stats), the offensive line of the Houston Texans grades out as the 2nd-worst in football last year.
With a terrible total of 4.1 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) (19th percentile), C.J. Stroud has been among the weakest rushing QBs in the league this year.
When it comes to the linebackers' role in defending against the run, New York's unit has been exceptional this year, ranking as the 10th-best in football.

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