My Account Log Out
 
 
C.J. Stroud

C.J. Stroud Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Houston Texans vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
C.J. Stroud Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With a 3-point advantage, the Texans are favored in this game, suggesting more of a reliance on running than their standard game plan.
  • The Houston Texans have run the 10th-most plays in football this year, totaling a monstrous 60.0 plays per game.
  • Opposing squads have rushed for the most adjusted yards in the NFL (161 per game) versus the Denver Broncos defense this year.
  • The Broncos defensive tackles rank as the 5th-worst DT corps in football this year with their run defense.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Texans to call the 5th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.1 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
  • The pass games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop-off.
  • As it relates to blocking for ball-carriers (and the importance it has on all run game metrics), the O-line of the Houston Texans ranks as the 2nd-worst in the league last year.
  • C.J. Stroud's running efficiency (4.69 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the worst in the league this year (23rd percentile when it comes to QBs).
  • With a terrible record of 1.14 yards-after-contact (18th percentile), C.J. Stroud places among the bottom rushing QBs in football this year.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2022 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™