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C.J. Stroud
NFL · Player Props
C.J. Stroud
QB · Houston Texans
Rushing Yards
Cincinnati Bengals vs Houston Texans · Week 10, 2023 Updated Nov 12, 2023 8:31 PM UTC
NFL Props C.J. Stroud Rushing Yards

C.J. Stroud Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-121/-113).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -123 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -113.

Favors Over
  • The leading projections forecast the Houston Texans offensive blueprint to tilt 1.3% more towards the run game than it did last season (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Bobby Slowik now calling the plays.
  • The leading projections forecast the Texans to be the 9th-most run-oriented team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 41.4% run rate.
  • This year, the strong Bengals run defense has allowed a meager 4.91 adjusted yards-per-carry to the opposition's run game: the 28th-lowest rate in football.
  • When it comes to the linebackers' role in stopping the run, Cincinnati's LB corps has been very bad this year, grading out as the 6th-worst in football. in football.
Favors Under
  • At a -5.5-point disadvantage, the Texans are underdogs this week, implying more of a focus on passing than their normal approach.
  • The projections expect the Texans to run the 9th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.8 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • In this game, C.J. Stroud is anticipated by the predictive model to earn the 5th-fewest rush attempts among all quarterbacks with 2.8.
  • The Texans O-line profiles as the 2nd-worst in the NFL last year at run-game blocking.
  • C.J. Stroud's rushing effectiveness (3.58 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the worst in the league this year (13th percentile when it comes to QBs).
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