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C.J. Stroud

C.J. Stroud Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Houston Texans vs Buffalo Bills

C.J. Stroud Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 259.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 258.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 259.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Houston Texans to pass on 59.5% of their opportunities: the 6th-greatest rate on the slate this week.

The most plays in the league have been run by the Houston Texans this year (a massive 63.2 per game on average).

The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop-off.

In throwing a monstrous 35.9 pass attempts per game this year, C.J. Stroud stands among the top QBs in the NFL (84th percentile) in this regard.

Opposing teams have averaged 35.5 pass attempts per game versus the Bills defense this year: 7th-most in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect this game to see the fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 122.7 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 7th-lowest clip in the NFL versus the Buffalo Bills defense this year (67.6% Adjusted Completion%).

The Bills pass defense has shown good efficiency this year, yielding 6.06 adjusted yards-per-target: the fewest in the NFL.

As it relates to cornerbacks in defending receivers, Buffalo's unit has been exceptional this year, projecting as the 2nd-best in the league.

More C.J. Stroud Player Props

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