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C.J. Stroud

C.J. Stroud Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Houston Texans vs Miami Dolphins

C.J. Stroud Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 255.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 242.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 255.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects the Houston Texans as the 9th-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 60.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

Our trusted projections expect the Texans to be the 2nd-fastest paced defense in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment, with opposing offenses averaging 26.66 seconds per snap.

The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline.

In this week's game, C.J. Stroud is forecasted by the projection model to average the 8th-most pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 36.4.

Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 8th-highest clip in the league vs. the Miami Dolphins defense this year (73.0% Adjusted Completion%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

As it relates to pocket protection (and the influence it has on all passing offense statistics), the O-line of the Texans grades out as the 8th-worst in the league this year.

C.J. Stroud's 223.0 adjusted passing yards per game this season marks a substantial diminishment in his throwing ability over last season's 257.0 rate.

With a weak 61.0% Adjusted Completion% (9th percentile) this year, C.J. Stroud ranks as one of the least accurate QBs in football.

More C.J. Stroud Player Props

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