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C.J. Stroud

C.J. Stroud Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Houston Texans vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
C.J. Stroud Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 239.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 231.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 239.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Texans have called the 2nd-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a whopping 61.8 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • In tallying a monstrous 34.3 pass attempts per game this year, C.J. Stroud ranks among the top quarterbacks in the league (75th percentile) by this measure.
  • As it relates to cornerbacks in defending receivers, Tennessee's unit has been very bad this year, ranking as the 5th-worst in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 8-point advantage, the Texans are a massive favorite in this game, suggesting much more of a focus on running than their normal approach.
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projections to have only 127.5 plays on offense called: the 4th-lowest number on the slate this week.
  • Opposing QBs teams have been afraid to test the pass defense of the Tennessee Titans, totaling the 2nd-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 29.0 per game) this year.
  • The Houston offensive line profiles as the 4th-worst in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative effect on all passing offense stats across the board.
  • C.J. Stroud's 225.0 adjusted passing yards per game this season shows a remarkable decrease in his throwing prowess over last season's 257.0 rate.

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