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C.J. Stroud

C.J. Stroud Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Dallas Cowboys vs Houston Texans

 
 
 
C.J. Stroud Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 229.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 238.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 229.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect this game to see the 2nd-most plays run among all games this week at 133.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Texans have called the most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a whopping 62.4 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • This year, the poor Cowboys defense has been gouged for the most adjusted yards-per-target in football to the opposing side: a staggering 9.11 yards.
  • This year, the deficient Dallas Cowboys defense has surrendered the most yards-after-the-catch in football to opposing squads: a monstrous 6.09 YAC.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • An extreme running game script is suggested by the Texans being a massive 7.5-point favorite in this week's contest.
  • Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Houston Texans to pass on 54.7% of their opportunities: the lowest rate among all teams this week.
  • Opposing quarterbacks teams have been disinclined to pass too much against the Dallas Cowboys, totaling the fewest attempts in the league (just 28.3 per game) this year.
  • The Texans O-line grades out as the 4th-worst in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful influence on all passing game statistics across the board.
  • C.J. Stroud has passed for substantially fewer adjusted yards per game (223.0) this year than he did last year (257.0).

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