C.J. Stroud Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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C.J. Stroud

NFL · Player Props

C.J. Stroud

QB · Houston Texans

Passing Yards

Carolina Panthers vs Houston Texans · Week 8, 2023

Updated Oct 29, 2023 10:51 PM UTC

Analysis

C.J. Stroud Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 240.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Texans are forecasted by our trusted projection set to call 65.9 plays on offense in this contest: the 8th-most on the slate this week.
The 6th-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Houston Texans this year (a staggering 61.7 per game on average).
With a terrific tally of 264.0 adjusted passing yards per game (83rd percentile), C.J. Stroud rates among the best passers in the NFL this year.
The Panthers defense has struggled when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, yielding an average of 6.16 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year: the 4th-most in football.
As it relates to cornerbacks in covering pass-catchers, Carolina's CB corps has been atrocious this year, projecting as the 3rd-worst in the league.

Favors Under

The projections expect the Houston Texans offensive gameplan to lean 2.1% more towards running than it did last year (context-neutralized) with offensive coordinator Bobby Slowik now calling the plays.
With a 3.5-point advantage, the Texans are favored in this week's contest, indicating more of a reliance on running than their standard game plan.
Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Houston Texans to pass on 53.0% of their opportunities: the 5th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
In this game, C.J. Stroud is expected by the projections to have the 10th-fewest pass attempts among all QBs with 32.8.
Opposing QBs have averaged 31.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Carolina Panthers defense this year: 3rd-fewest in football.

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