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C.J. Stroud

C.J. Stroud Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Atlanta Falcons vs Houston Texans

C.J. Stroud Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 246.5 (-130/+100).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the Houston Texans offense as the 7th-quickest paced team in football (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 26.91 seconds per play.

The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.

In registering a staggering 39.1 pass attempts per game this year, C.J. Stroud places among the top QBs in football (92nd percentile) for this stat.

With an exceptional rate of 280.0 adjusted passing yards per game (92nd percentile), C.J. Stroud places among the top quarterbacks in the NFL this year.

With an excellent 7.42 adjusted yards-per-target (76th percentile) this year, C.J. Stroud has been as one of the most effective quarterbacks in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Houston Texans boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Bobby Slowik, and our trusted projections expect their pass/run mix to lean 2.2% more towards rushing than it did last year (adjusted for context).

The model projects the Houston Texans to be the 6th-least pass-heavy offense in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 57.7% pass rate.

With a feeble 60.7% Adjusted Completion% (21st percentile) this year, C.J. Stroud rates among the worst precision passers in football.

This year, the stout Falcons defense has yielded a meager 189.0 adjusted passing yards per game to opposing offenses: the 6th-fewest in the league.

Since the start of last season, the daunting Falcons defense has given up the 7th-least yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to opposing teams: a measly 4.6 YAC.

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