C.J. Stroud Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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C.J. Stroud

NFL · Player Props

C.J. Stroud

QB · Houston Texans

Passing Yards

Cincinnati Bengals vs Houston Texans · Week 10, 2023

Updated Nov 12, 2023 8:31 PM UTC

Analysis

C.J. Stroud Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 252.5 (-130/+100).

Key Factors

Favors Over

At a -5.5-point disadvantage, the Texans are underdogs this week, implying more of a focus on passing than their normal approach.
In logging a whopping 36.7 pass attempts per game this year, C.J. Stroud places among the top quarterbacks in the league (76th percentile) in this regard.
With a fantastic record of 269.0 adjusted passing yards per game (84th percentile), C.J. Stroud ranks among the top QBs in the NFL this year.
With an exceptional 7.71 adjusted yards-per-target (88th percentile) this year, C.J. Stroud rates among the best per-play QBs in the league.
This year, the weak Cincinnati Bengals defense has surrendered the 3rd-most adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing offenses: a whopping 8.27 yards.

Favors Under

The leading projections forecast the Houston Texans offensive blueprint to tilt 1.3% more towards the run game than it did last season (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Bobby Slowik now calling the plays.
Our trusted projections expect the Houston Texans to be the 8th-least pass-oriented offense in football (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 58.6% pass rate.
The projections expect the Texans to run the 9th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.8 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.
With a weak 61.4% Adjusted Completion% (16th percentile) this year, C.J. Stroud ranks among the least on-target quarterbacks in the league.

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