C.J. Stroud Pass Attempts - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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C.J. Stroud

NFL · Player Props

C.J. Stroud

QB · Houston Texans

Pass Attempts

Houston Texans vs New Orleans Saints · Week 6, 2023

Updated Oct 15, 2023 11:21 PM UTC

Analysis

C.J. Stroud Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 33.5 (-105/-125).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The projections expect this game to see the highest number of plays run among all games this week at 137.2 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The 6th-most plays in the NFL have been run by the Texans this year (a whopping 62.8 per game on average).
The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may decline.
The leading projections forecast C.J. Stroud to throw 36.6 passes in this week's game, on average: the 6th-most among all QBs.

Favors Under

The Texans have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Bobby Slowik, and the predictive model expects their pass/run mix to skew 2.1% more towards rushing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
At the present time, the 6th-least pass-oriented team in the league (57.9% context-neutralized) according to the model is the Texans.

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