C.J. Stroud Pass Attempts - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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C.J. Stroud

NFL · Player Props

C.J. Stroud

QB · Houston Texans

Pass Attempts

Houston Texans vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 2, 2023

Updated Sep 17, 2023 5:06 PM UTC

Analysis

C.J. Stroud Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (+112/-154).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 31.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 29.5 @ -154.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 134.7 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

Favors Under

The Houston Texans boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Bobby Slowik, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 4.1% more towards rushing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
THE BLITZ projects the Houston Texans as the 5th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 53.6% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects C.J. Stroud to attempt 33.1 passes in this contest, on average: the 9th-least of all quarterbacks.
Opposing offenses have averaged 30.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Indianapolis Colts defense since the start of last season: 6th-least in the NFL.

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