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C.J. Stroud

C.J. Stroud Interceptions
Player Prop Week 4

Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars

 
 
 
C.J. Stroud Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects the Texans as the 9th-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 59.5% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • The predictive model expects the Texans to run the 6th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 66.0 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • The Houston Texans have called the 6th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a monstrous 60.0 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • The predictive model expects C.J. Stroud to attempt 36.8 passes in this contest, on average: the 4th-most out of all quarterbacks.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's spread indicates a rushing game script for the Texans, who are favored by 3.5 points.
  • C.J. Stroud has logged a lowly 0.40 interceptions per game since the start of last season, ranking in the 85th percentile when it comes to QBs.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars linebackers project as the 2nd-best unit in the league since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

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