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C.J. Stroud

C.J. Stroud Interceptions
Player Prop Week 20

Kansas City Chiefs vs Houston Texans

 
 
 
C.J. Stroud Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-185/+135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -155 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -185.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -8.5-point disadvantage, the Texans are massive underdogs in this week's contest, implying much more of a focus on throwing than their usual approach.
  • Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Texans to pass on 61.3% of their downs: the greatest clip on the slate this week.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is expected by the projection model to see 136.5 offensive plays run: the most among all games this week.
  • The predictive model expects C.J. Stroud to attempt 37.7 passes in this week's game, on average: the 2nd-most out of all QBs.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 33.3 pass attempts per game against the Chiefs defense this year: 9th-most in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 12-mph being predicted in this game) usually cause decreased passing efficiency, reduced air volume, and higher rush volume.
  • As it relates to pass-blocking (and the ramifications it has on all pass game statistics), the O-line of the Texans grades out as the 2nd-worst in football this year.
  • The Chiefs linebackers rank as the 3rd-best group of LBs in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

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