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C.J. Stroud

C.J. Stroud Interceptions
Player Prop Week 11

Dallas Cowboys vs Houston Texans

 
 
 
C.J. Stroud Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+100/-129).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -127 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -129.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect this game to see the 2nd-most plays run among all games this week at 133.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Texans have called the most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a whopping 62.4 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • As it relates to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Dallas's unit has been easily exploitable this year, ranking as the worst in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • An extreme running game script is suggested by the Texans being a massive 7.5-point favorite in this week's contest.
  • Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Houston Texans to pass on 54.7% of their opportunities: the lowest rate among all teams this week.
  • Opposing quarterbacks teams have been disinclined to pass too much against the Dallas Cowboys, totaling the fewest attempts in the league (just 28.3 per game) this year.
  • The Texans O-line grades out as the 4th-worst in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful influence on all passing game statistics across the board.

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