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C.J. Stroud

C.J. Stroud Interceptions
Player Prop Week 9

Houston Texans vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

 
 
 
C.J. Stroud Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+160/-200).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect this game to have the 2nd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 131.3 plays, given the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 39.0 pass attempts per game versus the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense this year: 6th-most in the league.
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers safeties grade out as the 3rd-worst safety corps in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Texans boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Bobby Slowik, and the model projects their pass/run mix to tilt 2.4% more towards rushing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
  • The leading projections forecast the Houston Texans to be the 8th-least pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 55.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • In throwing a lowly 0.13 interceptions per game this year, C.J. Stroud places among the top quarterbacks in football (89th percentile).
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have intercepted 1.12 throws per game this year, ranking as the 7th-best defense in the NFL by this stat.

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