C.J. Stroud Interceptions - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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C.J. Stroud

NFL · Player Props

C.J. Stroud

QB · Houston Texans

Interceptions

Houston Texans vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 2, 2023

Updated Sep 17, 2023 5:06 PM UTC

Analysis

C.J. Stroud Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+102/-134).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -129 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -134.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 134.7 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
The Indianapolis Colts have intercepted 0.65 passes per game since the start of last season, grading out as the 10th-worst defense in football by this stat

Favors Under

The Houston Texans boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Bobby Slowik, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 4.1% more towards rushing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
THE BLITZ projects the Houston Texans as the 5th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 53.6% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects C.J. Stroud to attempt 33.1 passes in this contest, on average: the 9th-least of all quarterbacks.
Opposing offenses have averaged 30.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Indianapolis Colts defense since the start of last season: 6th-least in the NFL.
The Houston Texans O-line ranks as the 3rd-worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all pass game statistics across the board.

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