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C.J. Stroud

C.J. Stroud Completions
Player Prop Week 19

Houston Texans vs Los Angeles Chargers

 
 
 
C.J. Stroud Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 21.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 21.5 @ -135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A passing game script is indicated by the Texans being a -3-point underdog in this week's contest.
  • Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Texans to pass on 62.3% of their downs: the highest frequency among all teams this week.
  • The passing attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide.
  • In this game, C.J. Stroud is anticipated by the projection model to average the 4th-most pass attempts among all QBs with 36.7.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Houston Texans are predicted by the predictive model to run only 63.6 offensive plays in this game: the fewest on the slate this week.
  • In regards to pocket protection (and the influence it has on all pass attack stats), the offensive line of the Texans ranks as the worst in the NFL this year.
  • With a poor 61.2% Adjusted Completion% (12th percentile) this year, C.J. Stroud stands as one of the least accurate passers in the NFL.
  • When it comes to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, Los Angeles's collection of LBs has been tremendous this year, profiling as the 7th-best in the league.

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